Alvin Toffler
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Alvin Toffler (born October 3, 1928) is an American writer and futurist, known for his works discussing the digital revolution, communications revolution, corporate revolution and technological singularity. A former associate editor of Fortune magazine, his early work focused on technology and its impact (through effects like information overload). Then he moved to examining the reaction of and changes in society. His later focus has been on the increasing power of 21st century military hardware, weapons and technology proliferation, and capitalism. He is married to Heidi Toffler, also a writer and futurist. They wrote the books credited to "Alvin Toffler" together.
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[edit] His ideas
Toffler explains, "Society needs people who take care of the elderly and who know how to be compassionate and honest. Society needs people who work in hospitals. Society needs all kinds of skill that are not just cognitive; they're emotional, they're affectional. You can't run the society on data and computers alone."
In his book The Third Wave Toffler describes three types of societies, based on the concept of 'waves' - each wave pushes the older societies and cultures aside.
- First Wave is the society after agrarian revolution and replaced the first hunter-gatherer cultures.
- The main components of the Second Wave society are nuclear family, factory-type education system and the corporation. Toffler writes: "The Second Wave Society is industrial and based on mass production, mass distribution, mass consumption, mass education, mass media, mass recreation, mass entertainment, and weapons of mass destruction. You combine those things with standardization, centralization, concentration, and synchronization, and you wind up with a style of organization we call bureaucracy."
- Third Wave is the post-industrial society. Toffler would also add that since late 1950s most countries are moving away from a Second Wave Society into what he would call a Third Wave Society. He coined lots of words to describe it and mentions names invented by other people, like the Information Age.
In this post-industrial society, there is a lot of diversity in lifestyles ("subcults"). Adhocracies (fluid organizations) adapt quickly to changes. Information can substitute most of the material resources (see ersatz) and becomes the main material for workers (cognitarians instead of proletarians), who are loosely affiliated. Mass customization offers the possibility of cheap, personalized, production catering to small niches (see Just In Time production). The gap between producer and consumer is bridged by technology using a so called configuration system. "Prosumers" can fill their own needs (see open source, assembly kit, freelance work).
Since the 1970s, people have been trying to make sense out of the impact of new technologies and social change. Toffler's writings have been influential beyond the confines of scientific, economic and public policy discussions. Techno music pioneer Juan Atkins cites Toffler's phrase "techno rebels" in Future Shock as inspiring him to use the word "techno" to describe the musical style he helped to create.
Toffler's works and ideas have been subject to various criticism, usually with the same argumentation used against futurology, that is that foreseeing the future is nigh impossible. In the 1990s, his ideas were publicly lauded by Newt Gingrich.
In 1996 Alvin and Heidi Toffler founded Toffler Associates, an executive advisory firm committed to helping commercial firms and government agencies adjust to the changes described in the Tofflers' works.
[edit] Books
Alvin Toffler co-wrote his books with his wife Heidi. A few of their well-known works are:
- Future Shock (1970) Bantam Books ISBN 0-553-27737-5
- The Eco-Spasm Report (1975) Bantam Books ISBN 0-553-14474-X
- The Third Wave (1980) Bantam Books ISBN 0-553-24698-4
- Previews & Premises (1983)
- Powershift: Knowledge, Wealth and Violence at the Edge of the 21st Century (1990) Bantam Books ISBN 0-553-29215-3
- War and Anti-War (1995) Warner Books ISBN 0-446-60259-0
- Revolutionary Wealth (2006) Knopf ISBN 0-375-40174-1
The Shockwave Rider (1975) ISBN 0-345-46717-5 by John Brunner is a science-fiction novel inspired by Toffler's Future Shock.
[edit] See also
- Daniel Bell
- Norman Swan
- The National Committee For U.S.-China Relations
- The U.S. Committee for Unifem
- The United Nations Fund for Women (UNIFEM)
- The RAND Corporation
- The Progress and Freedom Foundation
- The Institute for Policy Studies
- The United Nations
- The World Trade Organization
- The Pentagon
[edit] External links
- Alvin & Heidi Toffler website
- Toffler Associates website
- interviewed by Newt Gingrichaf:Alvin Toffler
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